Adults have certain ideas about what seems random in the world. For example, many adults have had the experience of flipping a coin and trying to guess which side of the coin will end up on top—either the “heads” side (H) or the “tails” side (T). Most adults would identify the coin flip sequence of HTTHT as appearing more random than a sequence that looks more uniform, i.e.: THTHT. Although any sequence of five coin flips is equally likely, some sequences feel more random than others.
This study asks: are children’s ideas about randomness similar to adults, and how do their ideas change with age?